It’s winner-take-all for oddsmakers

In Sunday’s Golden Globes, “12 Years a Slave” looks to be the clear favorite (1-4) among dramas. Meanwhile, “American Hustle” (1-5) appears to be an easy pick over “The Wolf of Wall Street” (4-1). “Inside Llewyn Davis” is the longshot at 30-1.
Jan 11, 2014

 In Sunday’s Golden Globes, “12 Years a Slave” looks to be the clear favorite (1-4) among dramas. Meanwhile, “American Hustle” (1-5) appears to be an easy pick over “The Wolf of Wall Street” (4-1). “Inside Llewyn Davis” is the longshot at 30-1.

At least that’s the way Bovada, an Internet oddsmaker, sees it. The gambling site, which handicaps everything from NFL games (which you’d expect) to the hair color of future British kings (which you might not), has broken down the awards show into more than a dozen categories.

Bovada’s Kevin Bradley says the Golden Globes gets a fair amount of action. The Oscars are the Super Bowl of entertainment bets, he says, and betting limits are raised from $100 to $500.

Who are the night’s other predicted winners?

Cate Blanchett is a 1-8 favorite to win lead actress for “Blue Jasmine” (fractional bets less than 1 generally indicate a heavy fave). Chiwetel Ejiofor of “12 Years a Slave” is the top pick to win the lead actor award at 10-11. Robert Redford is second, at 9-4, for “All Is Lost.”

In the musical-comedy category, “The Wolf of Wall Street’s” Leonardo DiCaprio (5-7) and “Nebraska’s” Bruce Dern (5-4) are the favorites among the men; “American Hustle’s” Amy Adams and “August: Osage County’s” Meryl Streep are tied at 7-5 atop the actress category.

In TV dramas, “Breaking Bad” is a 2-5 favorite over “House of Cards” (7-4).

The night’s surest bet, according to Bovada, is “Frozen,” which at 1-15 tops the animated features, ahead of “Despicable Me 2” at 5-1 and “The Croods” at 20-1.

For those not particularly gambling-literate, 1-5 odds would pay 20 cents on a dollar bet. Odds of 4-1 would pay $4.

Here’s a look at the odds in some of the top categories:

—Best Picture Drama

“12 Years a Slave” 1-4

“Gravity” 11-4

“Captain Phillips” 18-1

“Philomena” 50-1

“Rush” 75-1

—Best Picture Musical or Comedy

“American Hustle” 1-5

“The Wolf of Wall Street” 4-1

“Nebraska” 20-1

“Her” 20-1

“Inside Llewyn Davis” 30-1

—Best Actor in a Motion Picture Drama

Chiwetel Ejiofor (“12 Years a Slave”) 10-11

Robert Redford (“All Is Lost”) 9-4

Matthew McConaughey (“Dallas Buyers Club”) 11-4

Tom Hanks (“Captain Phillips”) 25-1

Idris Elba (“Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”) 25-1

—Best Actress in a Motion Picture Drama

Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine”) 1-8

Sandra Bullock (“Gravity”) 4-1

Emma Thompson (“Saving Mr. Banks”) 20-1

Judi Dench (“Philomena”) 35-1

Kate Winslet (“Labor Day”) 75-1

—Best Actor in a Motion Picture Musical or Comedy

Leonardo DiCaprio (“The Wolf of Wall Street”) 5-7

Bruce Dern (“Nebraska”) 5-4

Christian Bale (“American Hustle”) 20-1

Joaquin Phoenix (“Her”) 20-1

Oscar Isaac (“Inside Llewyn Davis”) 25-1

—Best Actress in a Motion Picture Musical or Comedy

Amy Adams (“American Hustle”) 7-5

Meryl Streep (“August: Osage County”) 7-5

Julia Louis-Dreyfus (“Enough Said”) 3-1

Julie Delpy (“Before Midnight”) 22-1

Greta Gerwig (“Frances Ha”) 30-1

—Best Director

Alfonso Cuaron (“Gravity”) 2-5

Steve McQueen (“12 Years a Slave”) 7-4

David O. Russell (“American Hustle”) 10-1

Alexander Payne (“Nebraska”) 50-1

Paul Greengrass (“Captain Phillips”) 50-1

 

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